Strategic Instability Trend

High Risk: The current nuclear threat level is heightened due to increased nuclear exercises by Russia and Belarus, alongside escalating rhetoric and military posturing involving NATO and Iran.

Assessing real-time instability in nuclear posturing.

Nuclear war risk card for 2026-05-22

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Why This Matters

Accidents, escalations, and miscommunications have come close before. The systems designed to prevent disaster are aging - and trust is eroding. Panthrisk scores the risk of strategic miscalculation so we can understand what's shifting.

This index offers insight into global tensions before they flash into conflict.