Strategic Instability Trend

High Risk: The global nuclear threat level is elevated due to increased nuclear activities by China, tensions surrounding Iran's nuclear ambitions, and the expiration of key arms control treaties.

Assessing real-time instability in nuclear posturing.

Nuclear war risk card for 2026-02-21

Today's Risk Snapshot

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Why This Matters

Accidents, escalations, and miscommunications have come close before. The systems designed to prevent disaster are aging — and trust is eroding. Panthrisk scores the risk of strategic miscalculation so we can understand what’s shifting.

This index offers insight into global tensions before they flash into conflict.