Risk Intelligence

Current situation

Pressure is concentrated in one lead domain.

Climate Change is the clear leader at 4.3, above the rest of the monitored set.

Climate Change has held high-risk territory for 92 consecutive days, while Unknown / Black Swan remains the most volatile domain over the last 90 days.

Global reading 4.0 / 5
High-risk now 3 / 6
Current leaders Climate Change
Coverage 406 days
Persistence 92 days

Climate Change is the stickiest pressure in the system.

It has remained in high-risk territory for 92 straight days, starting on April 16, 2026.

Long-horizon change +0.2

Information Integrity shows the strongest six-month climb.

Its reading is up +0.2 over 180 days, the clearest structural rise in the current dataset.

Volatility 0.317

Unknown / Black Swan is moving the least cleanly.

Its trailing 90-day volatility is 0.317, making it the least stable signal in the monitored set.

Trend map

Cross-domain pressure over time

Use the range presets to compress or expand the full record. Each line is a daily category reading through July 16, 2026.

Current leaders Climate Change

Climate Change at 4.3.

Longest active high-risk streak 92 days

Climate Change has not left high-risk territory since Apr 16, 2026.

Most volatile (90D) Unknown / Black Swan

Trailing volatility: 0.317.

Largest 180D rise +0.2

Information Integrity shows the strongest six-month climb.

Sharpest 30D cooling -0.4

Pandemics has softened the most over the last 30 days.

Longest historical high-risk run 138 days

Climate Change owns the longest sustained high-risk stretch in the recorded history.

Inflection timeline

Recent turning points

Threshold crossings and sharp daily moves in the last 120 days.

  1. Jul 16, 2026 High-risk exit

    Pandemics

    Pandemics fell below the high-risk threshold to 3.8.

  2. Jul 15, 2026 High-risk entry

    Pandemics

    Pandemics entered high-risk territory at 4.0.

  3. Jul 15, 2026 High-risk exit

    Unknown / Black Swan

    Unknown / Black Swan fell below the high-risk threshold to 3.8.

  4. Jul 14, 2026 High-risk exit

    Pandemics

    Pandemics fell below the high-risk threshold to 3.8.

  5. Jul 14, 2026 High-risk entry

    Unknown / Black Swan

    Unknown / Black Swan entered high-risk territory at 4.3.

  6. Jul 13, 2026 High-risk entry

    Pandemics

    Pandemics entered high-risk territory at 4.2.

  7. Jul 13, 2026 High-risk exit

    Unknown / Black Swan

    Unknown / Black Swan fell below the high-risk threshold to 3.8.

  8. Jul 12, 2026 High-risk exit

    Pandemics

    Pandemics fell below the high-risk threshold to 3.8.

  9. Jul 11, 2026 High-risk entry

    Pandemics

    Pandemics entered high-risk territory at 4.1.

  10. Jul 10, 2026 High-risk exit

    Pandemics

    Pandemics fell below the high-risk threshold to 3.6.

Domain intelligence

How the six domains compare

Current pressure, trailing change, active streaks, and structural state in one table.

Domain Current 30D 90D 180D Streak 90D Volatility
Climate Change 4.3 +0.1 +0.0 +0.0 92 days 0.100
Information Integrity 4.2 +0.0 +0.0 +0.2 56 days 0.109
Nuclear War 4.2 +0.4 -0.1 -0.1 8 days 0.175
Pandemics 3.8 -0.4 +0.0 -0.4 None active 0.301
Unknown / Black Swan 3.8 +0.0 -0.7 -0.4 None active 0.317
Artificial Intelligence 3.7 -0.1 +0.2 +0.2 None active 0.143