Risk Intelligence

Current situation

Broad-based pressure, not a single-driver spike.

Climate Change, Information Integrity, Nuclear War, and Unknown / Black Swan are tied at 4.2, which means the system is carrying multiple elevated fronts at once.

Information Integrity has held high-risk territory for 90 consecutive days, while Unknown / Black Swan remains the most volatile domain over the last 90 days.

Global reading 4.0 / 5
High-risk now 4 / 6
Current leaders 4-way tie
Coverage 340 days
Persistence 90 days

Information Integrity is the stickiest pressure in the system.

It has remained in high-risk territory for 90 straight days, starting on February 11, 2026.

Long-horizon change +1.0

Climate Change shows the strongest six-month climb.

Its reading is up +1.0 over 180 days, the clearest structural rise in the current dataset.

Volatility 0.254

Unknown / Black Swan is moving the least cleanly.

Its trailing 90-day volatility is 0.254, making it the least stable signal in the monitored set.

Trend map

Cross-domain pressure over time

Use the range presets to compress or expand the full record. Each line is a daily category reading through May 11, 2026.

Current leaders 4-way tie

Climate Change, Information Integrity, Nuclear War, and Unknown / Black Swan at 4.2.

Longest active high-risk streak 90 days

Information Integrity has not left high-risk territory since Feb 11, 2026.

Most volatile (90D) Unknown / Black Swan

Trailing volatility: 0.254.

Largest 180D rise +1.0

Climate Change shows the strongest six-month climb.

Sharpest 30D cooling -0.3

Pandemics has softened the most over the last 30 days.

Longest historical high-risk run 138 days

Climate Change owns the longest sustained high-risk stretch in the recorded history.

Inflection timeline

Recent turning points

Threshold crossings and sharp daily moves in the last 120 days.

  1. May 11, 2026 High-risk entry

    Nuclear War

    Nuclear War entered high-risk territory at 4.2.

  2. May 10, 2026 High-risk exit

    Nuclear War

    Nuclear War fell below the high-risk threshold to 3.7.

  3. May 10, 2026 High-risk entry

    Unknown / Black Swan

    Unknown / Black Swan entered high-risk territory at 4.2.

  4. May 9, 2026 High-risk entry

    Nuclear War

    Nuclear War entered high-risk territory at 4.1.

  5. May 8, 2026 High-risk exit

    Nuclear War

    Nuclear War fell below the high-risk threshold to 3.9.

  6. May 8, 2026 High-risk exit

    Unknown / Black Swan

    Unknown / Black Swan fell below the high-risk threshold to 3.8.

  7. May 7, 2026 High-risk exit

    Pandemics

    Pandemics fell below the high-risk threshold to 3.5.

  8. May 6, 2026 High-risk entry

    Pandemics

    Pandemics entered high-risk territory at 4.0.

  9. May 5, 2026 High-risk entry

    Unknown / Black Swan

    Unknown / Black Swan entered high-risk territory at 4.2.

  10. May 3, 2026 High-risk exit

    Artificial Intelligence

    Artificial Intelligence fell below the high-risk threshold to 3.8.

Domain intelligence

How the six domains compare

Current pressure, trailing change, active streaks, and structural state in one table.

Domain Current 30D 90D 180D Streak 90D Volatility
Climate Change 4.2 +0.1 -0.1 +1.0 26 days 0.129
Information Integrity 4.2 +0.0 +0.4 +0.1 90 days 0.092
Nuclear War 4.2 -0.1 -0.3 -0.3 1 days 0.149
Unknown / Black Swan 4.2 -0.1 +0.0 +0.4 2 days 0.254
Artificial Intelligence 3.5 +0.0 -0.2 -0.2 None active 0.202
Pandemics 3.5 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 None active 0.151