Risk Intelligence

Current situation

Pressure is concentrated in one lead domain.

Climate Change is the clear leader at 4.3, above the rest of the monitored set.

Climate Change has held high-risk territory for 162 consecutive days, while Unknown / Black Swan remains the most volatile domain over the last 90 days.

Global reading 4.2 / 5
High-risk now 5 / 6
Current leaders Climate Change
Coverage 476 days
Persistence 162 days

Climate Change is the stickiest pressure in the system.

It has remained in high-risk territory for 162 straight days, starting on April 16, 2026.

Long-horizon change +0.7

Artificial Intelligence shows the strongest six-month climb.

Its reading is up +0.7 over 180 days, the clearest structural rise in the current dataset.

Volatility 0.226

Unknown / Black Swan is moving the least cleanly.

Its trailing 90-day volatility is 0.226, making it the least stable signal in the monitored set.

Trend map

Cross-domain pressure over time

Use the range presets to compress or expand the full record. Each line is a daily category reading through September 24, 2026.

Current leaders Climate Change

Climate Change at 4.3.

Longest active high-risk streak 162 days

Climate Change has not left high-risk territory since Apr 16, 2026.

Most volatile (90D) Unknown / Black Swan

Trailing volatility: 0.226.

Largest 180D rise +0.7

Artificial Intelligence shows the strongest six-month climb.

Sharpest 30D cooling -0.2

Climate Change has softened the most over the last 30 days.

Longest historical high-risk run 162 days

Climate Change owns the longest sustained high-risk stretch in the recorded history.

Inflection timeline

Recent turning points

Threshold crossings and sharp daily moves in the last 120 days.

  1. Sep 24, 2026 High-risk entry

    Artificial Intelligence

    Artificial Intelligence entered high-risk territory at 4.2.

  2. Sep 22, 2026 High-risk exit

    Artificial Intelligence

    Artificial Intelligence fell below the high-risk threshold to 3.8.

  3. Sep 21, 2026 High-risk entry

    Artificial Intelligence

    Artificial Intelligence entered high-risk territory at 4.2.

  4. Sep 20, 2026 High-risk exit

    Artificial Intelligence

    Artificial Intelligence fell below the high-risk threshold to 3.8.

  5. Sep 19, 2026 High-risk exit

    Unknown / Black Swan

    Unknown / Black Swan fell below the high-risk threshold to 3.8.

  6. Sep 17, 2026 High-risk entry

    Artificial Intelligence

    Artificial Intelligence entered high-risk territory at 4.0.

  7. Sep 17, 2026 High-risk entry

    Unknown / Black Swan

    Unknown / Black Swan entered high-risk territory at 4.3.

  8. Sep 16, 2026 High-risk exit

    Artificial Intelligence

    Artificial Intelligence fell below the high-risk threshold to 3.8.

  9. Sep 15, 2026 High-risk entry

    Artificial Intelligence

    Artificial Intelligence entered high-risk territory at 4.0.

  10. Sep 14, 2026 High-risk exit

    Artificial Intelligence

    Artificial Intelligence fell below the high-risk threshold to 3.8.

Domain intelligence

How the six domains compare

Current pressure, trailing change, active streaks, and structural state in one table.

Domain Current 30D 90D 180D Streak 90D Volatility
Climate Change 4.3 -0.2 -0.2 +0.0 162 days 0.112
Artificial Intelligence 4.2 +0.5 +0.4 +0.7 1 days 0.189
Information Integrity 4.2 +0.0 +0.0 +0.0 26 days 0.127
Nuclear War 4.2 +0.0 -0.1 +0.0 16 days 0.138
Pandemics 4.2 +0.2 +0.0 +0.4 11 days 0.202
Unknown / Black Swan 3.8 -0.2 -0.2 -0.9 None active 0.226