Risk Intelligence

Current situation

Pressure is concentrated in one lead domain.

Climate Change is the clear leader at 4.5, above the rest of the monitored set.

Climate Change has held high-risk territory for 72 consecutive days, while Unknown / Black Swan remains the most volatile domain over the last 90 days.

Global reading 4.2 / 5
High-risk now 5 / 6
Current leaders Climate Change
Coverage 386 days
Persistence 72 days

Climate Change is the stickiest pressure in the system.

It has remained in high-risk territory for 72 straight days, starting on April 16, 2026.

Long-horizon change +0.4

Pandemics shows the strongest six-month climb.

Its reading is up +0.4 over 180 days, the clearest structural rise in the current dataset.

Volatility 0.333

Unknown / Black Swan is moving the least cleanly.

Its trailing 90-day volatility is 0.333, making it the least stable signal in the monitored set.

Trend map

Cross-domain pressure over time

Use the range presets to compress or expand the full record. Each line is a daily category reading through June 26, 2026.

Current leaders Climate Change

Climate Change at 4.5.

Longest active high-risk streak 72 days

Climate Change has not left high-risk territory since Apr 16, 2026.

Most volatile (90D) Unknown / Black Swan

Trailing volatility: 0.333.

Largest 180D rise +0.4

Pandemics shows the strongest six-month climb.

Sharpest 30D cooling -0.8

Unknown / Black Swan has softened the most over the last 30 days.

Longest historical high-risk run 138 days

Climate Change owns the longest sustained high-risk stretch in the recorded history.

Inflection timeline

Recent turning points

Threshold crossings and sharp daily moves in the last 120 days.

  1. Jun 26, 2026 High-risk entry

    Pandemics

    Pandemics entered high-risk territory at 4.2.

  2. Jun 26, 2026 High-risk entry

    Unknown / Black Swan

    Unknown / Black Swan entered high-risk territory at 4.0.

  3. Jun 25, 2026 High-risk exit

    Pandemics

    Pandemics fell below the high-risk threshold to 3.8.

  4. Jun 25, 2026 High-risk exit

    Unknown / Black Swan

    Unknown / Black Swan fell below the high-risk threshold to 3.5.

  5. Jun 24, 2026 High-risk exit

    Artificial Intelligence

    Artificial Intelligence fell below the high-risk threshold to 3.5.

  6. Jun 23, 2026 High-risk entry

    Nuclear War

    Nuclear War entered high-risk territory at 4.2.

  7. Jun 23, 2026 High-risk entry

    Artificial Intelligence

    Artificial Intelligence entered high-risk territory at 4.2.

  8. Jun 22, 2026 High-risk exit

    Nuclear War

    Nuclear War fell below the high-risk threshold to 3.8.

  9. Jun 21, 2026 High-risk entry

    Unknown / Black Swan

    Unknown / Black Swan entered high-risk territory at 4.2.

  10. Jun 20, 2026 High-risk exit

    Unknown / Black Swan

    Unknown / Black Swan fell below the high-risk threshold to 3.5.

Domain intelligence

How the six domains compare

Current pressure, trailing change, active streaks, and structural state in one table.

Domain Current 30D 90D 180D Streak 90D Volatility
Climate Change 4.5 +0.3 +0.2 +0.2 72 days 0.112
Nuclear War 4.3 +0.5 +0.1 +0.2 4 days 0.181
Information Integrity 4.2 +0.0 +0.0 +0.0 36 days 0.107
Pandemics 4.2 +0.0 +0.4 +0.4 1 days 0.292
Unknown / Black Swan 4.0 -0.8 -0.7 +0.0 1 days 0.333
Artificial Intelligence 3.8 +0.0 +0.3 +0.1 None active 0.150