Nuclear War
4.3 / 5
High Risk
Current nuclear risk is elevated due to the expiration of key arms control treaties, modernization of nuclear arsenals, and increased geopolitical tensions.
Artificial Intelligence
3.8 / 5
Moderate Risk
Today's AI risk is moderate, driven by advancements in AI capabilities and their integration into critical sectors, raising concerns about alignment, control, and ethical governance.
Climate Change
4.2 / 5
High Risk
Recent reports indicate that global warming is accelerating, with the last three years exceeding the 1.5°C global warming limit, signaling a high risk of severe climate impacts.
Pandemics
4.0 / 5
High Risk
Today's pandemic risk is high due to significant measles outbreaks, rising flu and RSV activity, and ongoing challenges with COVID-19 and misinformation.
Information Integrity
4.3 / 5
High Risk
Today's global threat level from misinformation is high, driven by election-related disinformation, health falsehoods, and AI-generated content.
Unknown / Black Swan
4.2 / 5
High Risk
The Arctic's increasing fire activity presents a significant and unpredictable environmental threat with global implications.