Panthrisk

The world's threat level. Measured daily.

Current reading Nightly global assessment
Coverage 6 monitored threat domains
Method Curated sources and AI scoring
Global Risk
3.9 / 5
Moderate Risk
-0.1 from yesterday
Top mover: Nuclear War
The threat of unknown or black swan events has intensified, edging closer to a critical risk level.
Latest run
Nuclear War
4.0 / 5
High Risk
The global nuclear threat level is heightened due to Lithuania's move to lift its constitutional ban on nuclear weapons amidst rising tensions with Russia, alongside ongoing concerns about Iran's nuclear program and the modernization of nuclear arsenals.
Artificial Intelligence
3.6 / 5
Moderate Risk
Today's AI risk is moderate, with significant advancements in AI capabilities and deployment raising concerns about alignment, misuse, and concentration of power.
Climate Change
4.3 / 5
High Risk
Current climate events, such as extreme heatwaves and ecosystem impacts, highlight an urgent and escalating global climate risk.
Pandemics
3.5 / 5
Moderate Risk
Today's pandemic risk is moderate due to ongoing outbreaks of flu, norovirus, and parasitic infections, alongside challenges in vaccine policy and misinformation.
Information Integrity
4.0 / 5
High Risk
Today's global misinformation threat is high, driven by widespread political disinformation, AI-generated content, and climate misinformation.
Unknown / Black Swan
4.2 / 5
High Risk
The uncertain quantum future presents an existential threat to US military missions.