The Unknown/Black Swan threat has surged to a critical risk level, signaling heightened global uncertainty.
Latest run
Nuclear War
4.2 / 5
High Risk
The current nuclear threat level is elevated due to increased geopolitical tensions, nuclear arsenal modernization, and the erosion of arms control treaties.
Current climate risks are high due to increased extreme weather events, biodiversity threats, and policy inaction, exacerbated by rapid oceanic changes and persistent emissions.
Today's pandemic risk is moderate due to ongoing outbreaks of COVID-19, avian flu, and cyclosporiasis, coupled with challenges in vaccine uptake and misinformation.