Nuclear War
4.3 / 5
High Risk
The current nuclear threat level is elevated due to the expiration of key arms control treaties, modernization of nuclear arsenals, and increased geopolitical tensions involving nuclear powers.
Artificial Intelligence
3.7 / 5
Moderate Risk
Today's AI risk is moderate due to rapid advancements in AI capabilities and partnerships, which heighten concerns about alignment, misuse, and concentration of power.
Climate Change
4.3 / 5
High Risk
The persistent global warming trend and its impacts on ecosystems, extreme weather, and economic sectors highlight a high climate risk today.
Pandemics
4.2 / 5
High Risk
The current pandemic risk is high due to surging measles outbreaks, rising respiratory virus activity, and misinformation impacting vaccine uptake.
Information Integrity
4.2 / 5
High Risk
Today's global misinformation threat is high, driven by AI-enhanced fake news, political disinformation, and widespread fraudulent activities.
Unknown / Black Swan
4.0 / 5
High Risk
Iran's ongoing protests pose the gravest existential threat to its regime since the 1979 revolution, with potential for significant geopolitical destabilization.