Nuclear Retaliation Loop Signal

High Risk: The global nuclear threat level is elevated due to increased nuclear activities by China, tensions surrounding Iran's nuclear ambitions, and the expiration of key arms control treaties.

Today’s nuclear threat signal is shown below.

Nuclear war risk card for 2026-02-21

Today's Risk Snapshot

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Why This Matters

While nuclear weapons have not been used in war since 1945, their risk has not diminished. Political rhetoric, deterrence signaling, and arms control failures all shape today’s threat environment.

Panthrisk decodes those signals to track whether stability is holding — or fraying.