Nuclear First Strike Index

High Risk: The global nuclear threat level is elevated due to increased nuclear activities by China, tensions surrounding Iran's nuclear ambitions, and the expiration of key arms control treaties.

Assessing real-time instability in nuclear posturing.

Nuclear war risk card for 2026-02-21

Today's Risk Snapshot

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Why This Matters

Nuclear tensions remain one of humanity’s most volatile risks. From hair-trigger alerts to modernization races, the architecture of deterrence is aging while geopolitics heat up. Panthrisk presents the signals that matter — daily.

Whether it’s doctrine shifts, false alarms, or policy failures, the score reflects how close the world edges to unthinkable outcomes.