Failure of Nuclear Deterrence

High Risk: Recent developments, including the U.S. consideration of resuming nuclear testing and China's warnings of nuclear conflict risks, indicate a heightened nuclear threat environment.

Monitoring signs of nuclear conflict escalation.

Nuclear war risk card for 2025-12-05

Today's Risk Snapshot

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Why This Matters

Accidents, escalations, and miscommunications have come close before. The systems designed to prevent disaster are aging — and trust is eroding. Panthrisk scores the risk of strategic miscalculation so we can understand what’s shifting.

This index offers insight into global tensions before they flash into conflict.