Failure of Nuclear Deterrence

High Risk: The nuclear threat level is heightened due to renewed discussions on nuclear testing and modernization, alongside geopolitical tensions and reduced diplomatic channels.

Monitoring signs of nuclear conflict escalation.

Nuclear war risk card for 2025-12-15

Today's Risk Snapshot

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Why This Matters

Accidents, escalations, and miscommunications have come close before. The systems designed to prevent disaster are aging — and trust is eroding. Panthrisk scores the risk of strategic miscalculation so we can understand what’s shifting.

This index offers insight into global tensions before they flash into conflict.