Catastrophic Uncertainty Monitor

High Risk: A second cyclone hitting Madagascar raises concerns about the potential for cascading natural disasters and humanitarian crises.

Track the unknowable — this page monitors black swan scenarios.

Unknown risk card for 2026-02-22

Today's Risk Snapshot

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Why This Matters

Black swan events — low-probability, high-impact occurrences — define the edge of our preparedness. These are moments that reshape entire systems. Panthrisk tracks the faint signals before such events manifest, using data trends and global shifts.

Knowing what we don't know may be the most valuable insight of all.