Unknown / Black Swan

The potential disruption posed by quantum technology to military operations represents a significant Black Swan risk. Quantum advancements could undermine existing security protocols, rendering current encryption methods obsolete and exposing critical vulnerabilities in defense systems. This risk is compounded by the rapid pace of technological development and the potential for adversaries to exploit these advancements before adequate countermeasures are developed. The convergence of these factors creates a high-risk scenario that could lead to unforeseen geopolitical instability.