Increase funding for quantum research to better understand and mitigate potential threats.
Unknown / Black Swan
Current reading
High Risk
History
384 daily observations
Method
Curated sources and AI scoring
Unknown / Black Swan Risk
4.2 / 5
High Risk
+0.2 from previous reading
Current assessment
The uncertain quantum future poses an existential threat to US military missions, indicating a potential Black Swan event in national security.
Latest run
June 27, 2026
Trend
Daily score history for Unknown / Black Swan.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
The Department of Defense's warning about the 'uncertain quantum future' highlights a significant and unpredictable risk to national security. Quantum technologies could disrupt current military strategies and capabilities, leading to unforeseen vulnerabilities. This development is particularly concerning because it involves advanced technology that is not fully understood or controlled, and its implications could cascade across multiple domains, including cybersecurity, communications, and strategic deterrence. The potential for a rapid and disruptive shift in military power dynamics elevates this to a high-risk Black Swan event.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Develop contingency plans to address vulnerabilities introduced by quantum technologies.
Collaborate internationally to establish norms and regulations for the use of quantum technologies.
Invest in quantum-resistant cybersecurity measures to protect critical infrastructure.
Raise public awareness about the implications of quantum technology on global security.
Sources Monitored
Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.
Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- Uncertain quantum future presents ‘existential threat’ to US military missions, DOD warns Publisher: DefenseScoop Published June 25, 2026