Unknown / Black Swan

The potential collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a critical Black Swan risk due to its profound impact on global climate systems, which could lead to severe weather changes, disruptions in food production, and geopolitical instability. This event is unpredictable and could have cascading effects on economies and societies worldwide. The recognition of this risk by Iceland highlights its seriousness and the need for global attention and preparedness. Such a collapse could trigger unprecedented environmental and economic challenges, making it a high-priority concern for international security and climate policy.