Unknown / Black Swan

The potential collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), as warned by Iceland, represents a high-risk Black Swan event due to its unpredictable nature and the massive impact it could have on global climate systems. Such a collapse could lead to drastic changes in weather patterns, sea level rise, and disruptions to marine ecosystems, which traditional models may not fully anticipate. This development is compounded by the interconnectedness of global systems, where a disruption in ocean currents could cascade into economic, social, and geopolitical instability.