Unknown / Black Swan

The potential collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) represents a significant Black Swan risk due to its profound impact on global climate systems, weather patterns, and sea levels. Such an event could lead to drastic changes in temperature, precipitation, and storm intensity across the Northern Hemisphere, affecting agriculture, infrastructure, and ecosystems. Iceland's recognition of this as a security risk underscores the severity and unpredictability of the situation, as traditional models struggle to accurately forecast the timing and consequences of such a collapse. This development, combined with the interconnected nature of global systems, elevates the threat level significantly.