Unknown / Black Swan

The reported severe staffing shortages in India's Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA) present a critical risk to aviation safety, potentially leading to oversight failures in one of the world's fastest-growing aviation markets. This situation could result in cascading effects on global air travel safety, as India is a major hub for international flights. The lack of adequate personnel to ensure compliance with safety standards increases the likelihood of accidents or incidents, which could have far-reaching consequences beyond India's borders. This risk is compounded by the interconnected nature of global aviation, where safety lapses in one region can have ripple effects worldwide.