Unknown / Black Swan

The recent military actions by Israel against Iran, intended to neutralize perceived existential threats, have heightened tensions in an already volatile region. This situation is compounded by Iran's potential nuclear capabilities, which pose a significant risk not only to the Middle East but also to global stability. The possibility of a broader conflict involving major powers could have unpredictable and far-reaching consequences, making this a high-risk scenario. Additionally, the interconnected nature of global economies and political alliances means that any escalation could trigger a cascade of geopolitical and economic disruptions worldwide.