Pandemics

Current reading High Risk
History 469 daily observations
Method Curated sources and AI scoring

Pandemics Risk

4.1 / 5
High Risk -0.1 from previous reading

Current assessment

Today's pandemic risk is high due to ongoing outbreaks of measles, avian flu, MERS, and Ebola, compounded by vaccine hesitancy and misinformation.

Latest run

September 20, 2026

Download Pandemics risk data .xlsx Complete history · 469 daily observations · Scores · Analysis · Actions · Articles

Trend

Daily score history for Pandemics.

Risk Drivers

What is pushing the current reading.

The current global health landscape is marked by multiple concurrent infectious disease outbreaks, including measles in the US, avian flu in various regions, and Ebola in the Democratic Republic of Congo. These outbreaks are exacerbated by significant vaccine hesitancy and misinformation, as seen in the US where vaccine policy is a contentious issue. Additionally, the merging of flu and COVID divisions by the CDC indicates an effort to streamline responses, yet highlights the ongoing challenges in managing multiple threats. Surveillance gaps and the potential for zoonotic spillover, particularly with avian flu, further elevate the risk level. The emergence of new MERS cases in Saudi Arabia and the detection of novel coronavirus subspecies in bats underscore the persistent threat of novel pathogens. Despite advancements in vaccine development and deployment, the combination of these factors results in a high pandemic risk level.

Risk Reduction Actions

Priority actions generated from the current analysis.

Government

Increase funding and resources for public health agencies to enhance outbreak detection and response capabilities.

Healthcare Providers

Intensify public health campaigns to combat vaccine misinformation and increase vaccination rates, especially for measles and flu.

International Organizations

Coordinate global efforts to monitor and control zoonotic diseases, particularly avian flu and MERS, to prevent cross-border transmission.

Research Institutions

Accelerate research on novel vaccines and treatments for emerging infectious diseases, leveraging AI and other technologies.

Community Leaders

Engage with local communities to build trust in vaccines and public health measures, addressing cultural and faith-based concerns.

Sources Monitored

Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.

Selected Articles

Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.