Increase funding for infectious disease surveillance and rapid response capabilities.
Pandemics
Pandemics Risk
Current assessment
Today's pandemic risk is moderate due to ongoing infectious disease outbreaks, vaccine hesitancy, and emerging viral threats.
September 13, 2026
Trend
Daily score history for Pandemics.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
The current global health landscape is marked by several factors contributing to a moderate pandemic risk. There are ongoing outbreaks of avian flu in various regions, including the US and China, which pose a significant threat due to their potential to mutate and spread among humans. Vaccine hesitancy remains a critical issue, as indicated by surveys showing demographic divides in COVID vaccine uptake, which could hinder efforts to control current and future outbreaks. Additionally, the emergence of new coronavirus subspecies and the ongoing threat of diseases like MERS and Ebola highlight the need for robust surveillance and rapid response mechanisms. Despite advancements in vaccine development and deployment, misinformation and public reluctance to vaccinate continue to challenge public health efforts. The merging of CDC's flu and COVID divisions is a positive step towards improving operational efficiency, but the overall situation requires vigilance and proactive measures to mitigate risks.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Enhance public education campaigns to address vaccine hesitancy and misinformation.
Accelerate research on universal vaccines and antiviral treatments for emerging pathogens.
Strengthen global collaboration on monitoring and controlling cross-border disease outbreaks.
Implement targeted vaccination campaigns in high-risk areas to prevent the spread of avian and other influenzas.
Sources Monitored
Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.
Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- Repeat COVID infections tied to higher odds of new health conditions Publisher: CIDRAP COVID‑19 Published September 10, 2026
- CDC merges its flu, COVID divisions to ‘strengthen operational efficiency’ Publisher: CIDRAP COVID‑19 Published September 9, 2026
- People who say they’ll get vaccinated against COVID and flu often don’t. Why not? Publisher: CIDRAP COVID‑19 Published September 9, 2026
- Turkey farms in Dakotas, Minnesota hit with H5N1 avian flu Publisher: CIDRAP Avian Influenza Published September 10, 2026
- 4 new human H9N2 avian flu cases in China as Australia sees more H5N1 in wild birds Publisher: CIDRAP Avian Influenza Published August 4, 2026
- Quick takes: Ebola deaths top 1,000, measles outbreak in Delaware, H9N2 avian flu in China Publisher: CIDRAP Avian Influenza Published July 23, 2026
- Federal health agencies say they need a big funding bump to prepare for future emergencies Publisher: CIDRAP Avian Influenza Published July 17, 2026
- Cambodia confirms human H5N1 avian flu case as H5N1 hits more Utah egg farms Publisher: CIDRAP Avian Influenza Published July 16, 2026
- Quick takes: More Michigan Cyclospora, UK measles death, H5N1 avian flu in Cambodian baby Publisher: CIDRAP Avian Influenza Published July 13, 2026
- Cattle, egg-laying poultry in Utah hit with H5N1 avian flu Publisher: CIDRAP Avian Influenza Published July 9, 2026
- China reports H9N2 avian flu in 1-year-old girl Publisher: CIDRAP Avian Influenza Published July 7, 2026
- H9N2 avian flu case in China and first H5N1 detection in Australian birds Publisher: CIDRAP Avian Influenza Published June 23, 2026
- More Idaho dairy cattle hit with H5N1 avian flu Publisher: CIDRAP Avian Influenza Published June 18, 2026
- Quick Takes: Red states and vaccine mandates, H9N2 avian flu case in China, Listeria cheese recall Publisher: CIDRAP Avian Influenza Published June 16, 2026
- Quick Takes: New avian flu detections, early uptick in Florida Vibrio cases, Salmonella outbreak of unknown origin Publisher: CIDRAP Avian Influenza Published June 11, 2026
- Avian flu confirmed in Texas, Idaho cows Publisher: CIDRAP Avian Influenza Published June 4, 2026
- Quick takes: Shift in Gavi funding, mpox smuggling charge, pandemic vaccine platform Publisher: CIDRAP Avian Influenza Published June 3, 2026