Increase funding and resources for surveillance and rapid response to emerging infectious diseases.
Pandemics
Pandemics Risk
Current assessment
Today's pandemic risk is moderate due to ongoing infectious disease outbreaks, including COVID-19, flu, avian flu, and Ebola, compounded by vaccine policy challenges and misinformation.
August 5, 2026
Trend
Daily score history for Pandemics.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
The current landscape of infectious diseases presents a moderate risk level, driven by multiple concurrent outbreaks such as COVID-19, flu, and avian flu, alongside the resurgence of Ebola in Africa. Surveillance gaps and misinformation, particularly in the US, are exacerbating these challenges, as seen in the debates over vaccine policies and public health responses. The persistence of long COVID symptoms and the potential for new pathogen strains, such as the novel coronavirus discovered in Brazilian bats, add complexity to the risk assessment. While vaccine deployment efforts continue, issues like vaccine hesitancy and policy debates hinder progress. Additionally, the spread of diseases like cyclosporiasis and the impact of misinformation on public health measures further contribute to the moderate risk level.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Enhance public health communication strategies to combat misinformation and improve vaccine uptake.
Accelerate research on long COVID and its impacts to inform treatment and prevention strategies.
Strengthen global collaboration on vaccine development and distribution, especially for emerging pathogens.
Implement targeted outreach programs to address vaccine hesitancy and misinformation in vulnerable communities.
Sources Monitored
Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.
Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- Can air purifiers prevent flu and COVID-19 in nursing homes? Only if they’re used properly Publisher: CIDRAP COVID‑19 Published July 31, 2026
- Long COVID may affect up to 5% of healthcare workers in hospitals, new data suggest Publisher: CIDRAP COVID‑19 Published July 29, 2026
- The Eaton wildfire evacuation shelter near LA saw outbreaks of norovirus, COVID, and flu, report reveals Publisher: CIDRAP COVID‑19 Published July 10, 2026
- 4 new human H9N2 avian flu cases in China as Australia sees more H5N1 in wild birds Publisher: CIDRAP Avian Influenza Published August 4, 2026
- Ebola cases surge past 2,000, now fastest-growing outbreak in history Publisher: CIDRAP Ebola Published July 15, 2026
- Moderna begins Phase 1 clinical trial of Ebola vaccine against strain behind DRC outbreak - ABC News Publisher: Breaking News, Latest News and Videos Published August 4, 2026