Increase funding and support for Ebola containment efforts in affected regions to prevent cross-border spread.
Pandemics
Pandemics Risk
Current assessment
Current infectious disease threats, including Ebola and flu outbreaks, combined with vaccine policy challenges, present a high pandemic risk.
June 26, 2026
Trend
Daily score history for Pandemics.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
The global pandemic risk is elevated due to several concurrent infectious disease outbreaks, notably Ebola in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, which poses a significant threat of cross-border spread to neighboring countries like Uganda and South Sudan. Additionally, flu outbreaks in military settings in the US highlight vulnerabilities in vaccination coverage and policy, exacerbated by political and logistical challenges. The presence of misinformation and vaccine hesitancy further complicates public health responses. These factors, coupled with ongoing surveillance gaps and the potential for pathogen spread at large gatherings like the World Cup, underscore a high risk of pandemic escalation.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Enhance surveillance and rapid response capabilities for flu and other respiratory diseases in high-risk settings.
Strengthen vaccine advocacy and education to counter misinformation and improve vaccination rates.
Coordinate cross-border health initiatives to manage and mitigate the spread of infectious diseases.
Promote accurate and science-based information to combat misinformation and build public trust in health interventions.
Sources Monitored
Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.
Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- Growing DRC Ebola outbreak has already spread to Uganda with high risk of reaching South Sudan Publisher: Medical Xpress Published June 25, 2026
- DRC’s Ebola outbreak has 70 per cent chance of spreading to South Sudan, new modelling predicts Publisher: The Telegraph Published June 25, 2026
- White House asks Congress for $1.4B to fight Ebola outbreak Publisher: The Hill Published June 25, 2026
- Air Force Outbreak Grows As Military Reinstates Flu-Shot Rule For Recruits Publisher: U.S. News & World Report Published June 25, 2026
- Pentagon Restores Flu Vaccine Mandate After Outbreak Sickens Hundreds at Air Force Base Publisher: Democracy Now! Published June 25, 2026