Pandemics

Current reading High Risk
History 383 daily observations
Method Curated sources and AI scoring

Pandemics Risk

4.2 / 5
High Risk +0.4 from previous reading

Current assessment

Current infectious disease threats, including Ebola and flu outbreaks, combined with vaccine policy challenges, present a high pandemic risk.

Latest run

June 26, 2026

Download Pandemics risk data .xlsx Complete history · 383 daily observations · Scores · Analysis · Actions · Articles

Trend

Daily score history for Pandemics.

Risk Drivers

What is pushing the current reading.

The global pandemic risk is elevated due to several concurrent infectious disease outbreaks, notably Ebola in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, which poses a significant threat of cross-border spread to neighboring countries like Uganda and South Sudan. Additionally, flu outbreaks in military settings in the US highlight vulnerabilities in vaccination coverage and policy, exacerbated by political and logistical challenges. The presence of misinformation and vaccine hesitancy further complicates public health responses. These factors, coupled with ongoing surveillance gaps and the potential for pathogen spread at large gatherings like the World Cup, underscore a high risk of pandemic escalation.

Risk Reduction Actions

Priority actions generated from the current analysis.

Government

Increase funding and support for Ebola containment efforts in affected regions to prevent cross-border spread.

Public Health Agencies

Enhance surveillance and rapid response capabilities for flu and other respiratory diseases in high-risk settings.

Healthcare Providers

Strengthen vaccine advocacy and education to counter misinformation and improve vaccination rates.

International Organizations

Coordinate cross-border health initiatives to manage and mitigate the spread of infectious diseases.

Media

Promote accurate and science-based information to combat misinformation and build public trust in health interventions.

Sources Monitored

Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.

Selected Articles

Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.