Reinstate and enforce vaccination mandates in military and high-risk settings to prevent outbreaks.
Pandemics
Pandemics Risk
Current assessment
Today's pandemic risk is high due to ongoing Ebola outbreaks, flu outbreaks in military settings, and the persistent threat of long COVID and misinformation.
June 19, 2026
Trend
Daily score history for Pandemics.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
The current global health landscape is marked by several concerning developments. The Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo is expanding rapidly, with cases increasing by nearly 40% in a week, highlighting the potential for significant regional and international spread if not contained. Concurrently, a flu outbreak at a US Air Force base underscores vulnerabilities in military settings, especially following the removal of mandatory vaccination policies. Long COVID continues to impose a substantial healthcare burden, with new studies linking it to chronic conditions and heart disease, complicating recovery and healthcare systems. Additionally, misinformation and vaccine hesitancy persist, undermining public health efforts and vaccine uptake, which are critical in preventing further outbreaks. These factors collectively elevate the risk of infectious disease spread and highlight gaps in surveillance and public health responsiveness.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Intensify surveillance and rapid response efforts in regions affected by Ebola to contain the outbreak.
Enhance communication strategies to address vaccine hesitancy and misinformation, focusing on the safety and efficacy of vaccines.
Provide support and resources to regions with high long COVID burden to improve healthcare access and management.
Accelerate research on long COVID and its long-term impacts to inform treatment and prevention strategies.
Sources Monitored
Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.
Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- Survey highlights greater burden of long COVID in Native Americans Publisher: CIDRAP COVID‑19 Published June 8, 2026
- Ebola cases near 1,000 as world scrambles to contain outbreak Publisher: CIDRAP Ebola Published May 27, 2026
- Ebola outbreak is three times bigger than any previous outbreak at the same stage Publisher: The Globe and Mail Published June 18, 2026
- Ebola cases increase almost 40% in a week as death toll passes 200 Publisher: AP News Published June 18, 2026
- Nearly 160 sick with flu at US air force base after Hegseth ends mandatory vaccines Publisher: The Guardian Published June 18, 2026