Pandemics

Current reading High Risk
History 371 daily observations
Method Curated sources and AI scoring

Pandemics Risk

4.2 / 5
High Risk -0.1 from previous reading

Current assessment

Today's pandemic risk is high due to the expanding Ebola outbreak in the DR Congo, ongoing measles outbreaks, and potential disease spread at large events like the World Cup.

Latest run

June 14, 2026

Download Pandemics risk data .xlsx Complete history · 371 daily observations · Scores · Analysis · Actions · Articles

Trend

Daily score history for Pandemics.

Risk Drivers

What is pushing the current reading.

The current global health landscape is marked by several concerning developments. The Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo is expanding, with cases nearing 1,000 and spreading into displacement camps, highlighting significant challenges in containment and public health response. Concurrently, measles outbreaks are threatening to reverse elimination status in the US, exacerbated by large gatherings such as the World Cup, which could facilitate further spread of infectious diseases. Additionally, there are gaps in vaccine coverage and public trust, as seen in the divergence of vaccine recommendations for pregnant women and the ongoing misinformation around vaccines. These factors, combined with the potential for new zoonotic spillovers as seen with avian flu and novel coronaviruses, underscore a high risk of infectious disease spread.

Risk Reduction Actions

Priority actions generated from the current analysis.

Government

Increase funding and resources for Ebola containment and vaccination efforts in affected regions.

Public Health Organizations

Enhance surveillance and rapid response capabilities for measles and other vaccine-preventable diseases, especially in high-risk areas.

Healthcare Providers

Strengthen communication strategies to address vaccine hesitancy and misinformation, particularly around COVID-19 and measles.

International Agencies

Coordinate global efforts to monitor and mitigate the spread of diseases at large international events like the World Cup.

Research Institutions

Accelerate research on universal vaccines and novel antiviral treatments to prepare for emerging infectious threats.

Sources Monitored

Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.

Selected Articles

Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.