Pandemics

Current reading High Risk
History 370 daily observations
Method Curated sources and AI scoring

Pandemics Risk

4.3 / 5
High Risk +0.3 from previous reading

Current assessment

Today's pandemic risk is high due to the expanding Ebola outbreak in DR Congo, potential disease spread at the World Cup, and ongoing challenges with vaccine misinformation.

Latest run

June 13, 2026

Download Pandemics risk data .xlsx Complete history · 370 daily observations · Scores · Analysis · Actions · Articles

Trend

Daily score history for Pandemics.

Risk Drivers

What is pushing the current reading.

The current high risk level is driven by the expanding Ebola outbreak in DR Congo, which has reached nearly 1,000 cases and is spreading into crowded displacement camps, posing a significant threat of further transmission. The World Cup presents additional risks of infectious disease spread due to large gatherings, with experts warning of potential 'diseases of crowds.' Meanwhile, vaccine misinformation continues to undermine public health efforts, as seen in the divergence of vaccine recommendations and declining trust in health authorities. These factors, combined with ongoing surveillance gaps and the potential for misinformation to exacerbate public health challenges, contribute to the elevated risk level.

Risk Reduction Actions

Priority actions generated from the current analysis.

Government

Increase funding and resources for Ebola containment and treatment efforts in DR Congo.

WHO

Enhance surveillance and rapid response capabilities for potential outbreaks during the World Cup.

Public Health Officials

Launch targeted campaigns to counter vaccine misinformation and improve public trust.

NGO

Provide support and resources to communities affected by the Ebola outbreak to prevent further spread.

Healthcare Providers

Strengthen communication strategies to address vaccine hesitancy and misinformation.

Sources Monitored

Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.

Selected Articles

Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.