Enhance surveillance and rapid response capabilities for zoonotic and emerging infectious diseases.
Pandemics
Pandemics Risk
Current assessment
Today's pandemic risk is moderate due to ongoing infectious disease outbreaks, including hantavirus and avian flu, coupled with vaccine misinformation and varied public health responses.
May 11, 2026
Trend
Daily score history for Pandemics.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
The current global health landscape is characterized by several concurrent infectious disease challenges. The hantavirus outbreak on a cruise ship, while not expected to escalate to a pandemic level, highlights vulnerabilities in outbreak management and the potential for rapid spread in confined environments. Concurrently, avian flu continues to pose a significant threat, with new cases reported in various regions, indicating persistent zoonotic transmission risks. Vaccine misinformation and hesitancy remain significant barriers to effective public health responses, as seen in the varied actions of US states in the absence of federal guidance. These factors, combined with the ongoing challenges of managing long COVID and the economic impacts it entails, contribute to a moderate risk level. Surveillance and public health responsiveness are crucial in mitigating these risks, but gaps remain, particularly in vaccine deployment and public trust.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Increase public education efforts to combat vaccine misinformation and improve vaccine uptake.
Support coordinated global efforts to address and contain infectious disease outbreaks, including avian flu and hantavirus.
Prioritize research and development of vaccines and therapeutics for emerging infectious diseases.
Promote accurate and science-based information to counteract misinformation and build public trust in health interventions.
Sources Monitored
Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.
Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- Quick takes: BioNTech closures; Texas alert on New World screwworm; second Saluda County, SC, measles case Publisher: CIDRAP COVID‑19 Published May 5, 2026
- Moderna’s combo flu-COVID vaccine receives European authorization Publisher: CIDRAP COVID‑19 Published April 23, 2026
- COVID vaccines tied to less hospital care, long COVID, and economic burden Publisher: CIDRAP COVID‑19 Published April 20, 2026
- Recent pandemic viruses, including SAR-CoV-2, spread directly to people without adaptation, researchers say Publisher: CIDRAP Influenza (General) Published March 10, 2026
- Why hantavirus isn’t the next pandemic, according to health officials Publisher: The Hill Published May 10, 2026