Enhance surveillance and genomic sequencing efforts to monitor and respond to new COVID variants.
Pandemics
Pandemics Risk
Assessment for this date
The current pandemic risk is moderate due to the emergence of new COVID variants, ongoing flu and measles outbreaks, and the spread of avian flu, despite declining flu activity and vaccine developments.
March 28, 2026
Trend
Viewing the record for March 28, 2026 within the full trend.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
The emergence of a new COVID variant with immune escape potential in multiple countries, including the US, raises concerns about potential surges in cases and challenges to existing vaccine efficacy. Concurrently, the flu season remains active with significant pediatric mortality, although some indicators show a decline. The persistence of measles outbreaks in the US, exacerbated by vaccine hesitancy and misinformation, further complicates public health efforts. Additionally, the spread of avian flu in both poultry and human cases in several regions highlights the ongoing risk of zoonotic diseases. These factors, combined with the potential for misinformation to undermine vaccination efforts, contribute to a moderate risk level.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Increase public awareness campaigns to combat vaccine misinformation and promote vaccination uptake.
Prioritize the distribution and administration of flu and COVID vaccines, especially in high-risk populations.
Accelerate the development and deployment of vaccines for emerging zoonotic diseases like avian flu.
Support community-level health education initiatives to improve understanding and acceptance of vaccines.
Sources Monitored
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Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- New COVID variant with immune escape potential confirmed in US, 22 other countries
- CDC reports 14 more pediatric flu deaths, 115 total
- After 3-week decline, flu cases rise across the US; RSV, COVID activity high in certain states
- 3 new human avian flu cases reported in China
- South Carolina’s measles outbreak hits 700 cases as CDC confirms 416 so far in 2026