Increase funding for genomic surveillance to rapidly identify and track new COVID variants.
Pandemics
Pandemics Risk
Assessment for this date
Today's pandemic risk is moderate due to the emergence of new COVID variants, ongoing flu and avian flu outbreaks, and challenges in vaccine uptake and misinformation.
March 25, 2026
Trend
Viewing the record for March 25, 2026 within the full trend.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
The emergence of a new COVID variant with immune escape potential in multiple countries, including the US, poses a significant threat to global health, especially given the ongoing challenges in vaccine uptake and misinformation. Concurrently, high flu activity with numerous pediatric deaths and the spread of avian flu in both animals and humans indicate a persistent risk of infectious disease outbreaks. Additionally, the underutilization of antivirals among high-risk groups and the potential for antibiotic resistance further complicate public health responses. These factors, combined with the long-term impacts of long COVID and the spread of misinformation, underscore the need for vigilant surveillance and responsive healthcare measures.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Promote and facilitate the use of antiviral treatments among high-risk populations to mitigate severe outcomes.
Intensify public health campaigns to counter misinformation and improve vaccine confidence.
Accelerate research on universal vaccines and treatments to address multiple strains and variants.
Enhance global collaboration to monitor and control avian flu outbreaks in both animals and humans.
Sources Monitored
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Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- New COVID variant with immune escape potential confirmed in US, 22 other countries
- CDC reports 14 more pediatric flu deaths, 115 total
- Antibiotic used in COVID patients tied to increased signs of antibiotic resistance
- CDC: Antiviral use low among older COVID outpatients, despite higher risk for severe disease
- Indiana: More than 350,000 birds killed in massive avian flu outbreak
- Cambodia confirms its first human case of H5N1 avian flu this year