Strengthen public health messaging to counter vaccine misinformation and improve vaccine uptake.
Pandemics
Pandemics Risk
Assessment for this date
Today's pandemic risk is moderate due to rising respiratory virus activity, ongoing measles outbreaks, and challenges in vaccine deployment and misinformation.
January 22, 2026
Trend
Viewing the record for January 22, 2026 within the full trend.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
The current global health landscape is marked by a resurgence of respiratory viruses, including flu and RSV, which are reaching high levels in the US and Europe. Concurrently, measles outbreaks in South Carolina and other regions pose significant public health challenges, exacerbated by vaccine misinformation and hesitancy. The effectiveness of the Moderna COVID vaccine against hospitalization is promising, but the presence of vocal vaccine opponents in advisory roles and confusion over vaccine policies undermine public confidence and complicate response efforts. Additionally, the detection of new avian flu cases and the emergence of novel coronavirus strains in wildlife highlight the ongoing threat of zoonotic spillover events. These factors, combined with systemic issues such as diminished healthcare capacity and economic hardships, contribute to a heightened risk of infectious disease spread.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Increase surveillance and testing for respiratory viruses and measles to quickly identify and contain outbreaks.
Support community outreach programs to educate the public on the importance of vaccinations and preventive measures.
Accelerate the development and deployment of universal vaccines to address multiple respiratory pathogens.
Enhance global cooperation to monitor and respond to emerging zoonotic diseases and potential pandemic threats.
Sources Monitored
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Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- US respiratory virus activity reaches high levels as flu, RSV spread
- North Dakota confirms pediatric flu deaths as some states note surge in flu activity
- Quick takes: Cruise ship outbreak, flu season in Australia, avian flu in Nebraska, polio in Somalia
- US measles outbreak tops 1,800 cases as respiratory illness surveillance returns
- RFK Jr. appoints 2 vocal opponents of vaccine use in pregnancy to federal advisory board