Pandemics

Viewed record Moderate Risk
History 338 daily observations
Method Curated sources and AI scoring
Viewing November 20, 2025 Return to latest

Pandemics Risk

3.8 / 5
Moderate Risk -0.4 from previous reading

Assessment for this date

Today's pandemic risk is moderate due to ongoing outbreaks of avian flu, measles, and botulism, alongside concerns about vaccine uptake and misinformation.

Record date

November 20, 2025

Trend

Viewing the record for November 20, 2025 within the full trend.

Risk Drivers

What is pushing the current reading.

The current global health landscape is characterized by multiple concurrent infectious disease threats, including avian flu outbreaks in the US and other countries, a significant measles outbreak in the US that threatens to end its elimination status, and a botulism outbreak linked to infant formula. These are compounded by challenges in vaccine uptake and public trust, as evidenced by partisan divides over COVID-19 vaccinations and low flu vaccine uptake in some regions. Additionally, the discovery of new coronavirus subspecies in bats and ongoing MERS cases in the Middle East highlight the potential for new zoonotic spillovers. While vaccine development and deployment efforts continue, misinformation and public skepticism pose significant barriers to effective public health responses.

Risk Reduction Actions

Priority actions generated from the current analysis.

Government

Increase funding and resources for surveillance and rapid response to infectious disease outbreaks, particularly in high-risk areas.

Public Health Agencies

Enhance communication strategies to combat misinformation and improve public confidence in vaccines and health guidelines.

Healthcare Providers

Encourage vaccination uptake by providing clear, evidence-based information to patients and addressing vaccine hesitancy directly.

International Organizations

Strengthen global cooperation and data sharing to monitor and respond to emerging zoonotic threats and outbreaks.

Research Institutions

Accelerate research into universal vaccines and novel antiviral treatments to prepare for future pandemics.

Sources Monitored

Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.

Selected Articles

Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.