Pandemics

Viewed record High Risk
History 338 daily observations
Method Curated sources and AI scoring
Viewing November 17, 2025 Return to latest

Pandemics Risk

4.2 / 5
High Risk +0.0 from previous reading

Assessment for this date

Today's pandemic risk is high due to concurrent outbreaks of Marburg virus in Ethiopia, avian flu in multiple US states, and a significant botulism outbreak linked to infant formula.

Record date

November 17, 2025

Trend

Viewing the record for November 17, 2025 within the full trend.

Risk Drivers

What is pushing the current reading.

The emergence of the Marburg virus in Ethiopia, a highly lethal pathogen with no available vaccine, poses a significant threat due to its potential for rapid spread and high mortality rate. Concurrently, the widespread avian flu outbreaks across the US, including in poultry and wild birds, increase the risk of zoonotic transmission to humans. Additionally, the botulism outbreak linked to infant formula raises concerns about food safety and the potential for widespread health impacts. These factors, combined with ongoing challenges in vaccine distribution and public health misinformation, contribute to a heightened global pandemic risk.

Risk Reduction Actions

Priority actions generated from the current analysis.

WHO

Deploy rapid response teams to Ethiopia to contain the Marburg outbreak and prevent further spread.

Government

Enhance surveillance and biosecurity measures in poultry farms to control avian flu outbreaks.

Public Health Agencies

Increase public awareness and safety checks for infant formula to prevent further botulism cases.

NGOs

Support local health systems in affected regions with resources and training to manage outbreaks effectively.

Researchers

Accelerate development of vaccines and treatments for emerging pathogens like Marburg and avian flu.

Sources Monitored

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Selected Articles

Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.