Increase surveillance and support for Marburg virus containment in Ethiopia.
Pandemics
Pandemics Risk
Assessment for this date
Today's pandemic risk is high due to the emergence of Marburg virus in Ethiopia, ongoing avian flu outbreaks, and widespread measles and botulism cases.
November 16, 2025
Trend
Viewing the record for November 16, 2025 within the full trend.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
The confirmation of the first Marburg virus outbreak in Ethiopia, a virus with a high fatality rate and no available vaccine, significantly elevates the global pandemic risk. Concurrently, the spread of avian flu across the US and other regions, coupled with measles outbreaks and a botulism outbreak linked to infant formula, indicates multiple simultaneous threats. These developments highlight the ongoing vulnerability of global health systems to emerging and re-emerging infectious diseases, exacerbated by gaps in vaccine coverage and public health responses. Additionally, misinformation and public distrust in health agencies further complicate efforts to manage these outbreaks effectively.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Enhance vaccination campaigns for measles and influenza to prevent further outbreaks.
Strengthen communication strategies to counter misinformation and build public trust in vaccines.
Provide resources and support to affected regions to manage and contain current outbreaks.
Accelerate development and distribution of vaccines and treatments for emerging pathogens like Marburg and avian flu.
Sources Monitored
Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.
Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- Ethiopia confirms outbreak of deadly Marburg virus Publisher: The Guardian
- 🇪🇹 ETHIOPIA CONFIRMS FIRST-EVER MARBURG OUTBREAK… DEADLY COUSIN OF EBOLA Marburg virus, Ebola’s equally terrifying cousin, has made its debut in Ethiopia… nine confirmed cases, no cure, no vaccine, and a 50% fatality rate. The WHO sa Publisher: x.com
- US Patient Sick With Bird Flu Virus That Has "Pandemic Potential": Report Publisher: NDTV
- SC measles outbreak surges to 47 cases Publisher: WCCB Charlotte
- Warning of ‘most severe flu outbreak in decades’ as infections surge to December levels Publisher: The Independent
- Infant botulism outbreak tied to ByHeart baby formula rises to 23 cases across 13 states Publisher: KVUE
- Ethiopia confirms first outbreak of Marburg virus Publisher: Al Jazeera
- Ethiopia confirms first Marburg outbreak as WHO lauds country's fast action Publisher: Medical Xpress