Pandemics

Viewed record High Risk
History 338 daily observations
Method Curated sources and AI scoring
Viewing November 16, 2025 Return to latest

Pandemics Risk

4.2 / 5
High Risk +0.4 from previous reading

Assessment for this date

Today's pandemic risk is high due to the emergence of Marburg virus in Ethiopia, ongoing avian flu outbreaks, and widespread measles and botulism cases.

Record date

November 16, 2025

Trend

Viewing the record for November 16, 2025 within the full trend.

Risk Drivers

What is pushing the current reading.

The confirmation of the first Marburg virus outbreak in Ethiopia, a virus with a high fatality rate and no available vaccine, significantly elevates the global pandemic risk. Concurrently, the spread of avian flu across the US and other regions, coupled with measles outbreaks and a botulism outbreak linked to infant formula, indicates multiple simultaneous threats. These developments highlight the ongoing vulnerability of global health systems to emerging and re-emerging infectious diseases, exacerbated by gaps in vaccine coverage and public health responses. Additionally, misinformation and public distrust in health agencies further complicate efforts to manage these outbreaks effectively.

Risk Reduction Actions

Priority actions generated from the current analysis.

WHO

Increase surveillance and support for Marburg virus containment in Ethiopia.

Governments

Enhance vaccination campaigns for measles and influenza to prevent further outbreaks.

Public Health Agencies

Strengthen communication strategies to counter misinformation and build public trust in vaccines.

NGOs

Provide resources and support to affected regions to manage and contain current outbreaks.

Research Institutions

Accelerate development and distribution of vaccines and treatments for emerging pathogens like Marburg and avian flu.

Sources Monitored

Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.

Selected Articles

Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.