Strengthen surveillance and response systems for avian flu and MERS to prevent zoonotic spillover.
Pandemics
Pandemics Risk
Assessment for this date
Today's pandemic risk is moderate due to ongoing infectious disease outbreaks, including avian flu, MERS, and a severe Listeria outbreak, alongside challenges in vaccine uptake and public health trust.
November 5, 2025
Trend
Viewing the record for November 5, 2025 within the full trend.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
The current global health landscape is marked by several concurrent infectious disease threats. Avian flu continues to spread in poultry and wild birds, with potential zoonotic implications. MERS cases are rising in Saudi Arabia, indicating a persistent threat in the region. A severe Listeria outbreak linked to prepared pasta meals has resulted in multiple deaths and hospitalizations, highlighting vulnerabilities in food safety. Additionally, there are challenges in vaccine uptake for flu and COVID-19, exacerbated by public distrust in health agencies. These factors, combined with the discovery of new coronavirus subspecies in bats, suggest a moderate risk of pandemic escalation, though current surveillance and vaccine development efforts provide some mitigation.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Enhance communication strategies to rebuild public trust in vaccines and health advisories.
Increase inspections and safety protocols in food production to prevent outbreaks like Listeria.
Accelerate research on new coronavirus subspecies and potential vaccines.
Coordinate global efforts to improve vaccine distribution and uptake, especially in regions with low coverage.
Sources Monitored
Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.
Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- New coronavirus subspecies with SARS-CoV-2–like mutation discovered in Brazilian bat
- Europe, Australia report low flu vaccine uptake as flu activity soars Down Under
- Saudi Arabia confirms 9 MERS cases, including hospital cluster
- Support for measles vaccination drops amid growing confusion about the disease, US poll shows
- CDC: Listeria Outbreak Linked to Prepared Pasta Meals Expands, Leaves Six Dead Across 18 States Publisher: health.com