Enhance surveillance and reporting systems for flu and other infectious diseases to quickly identify and respond to outbreaks.
Pandemics
Pandemics Risk
Assessment for this date
Today's pandemic risk is moderate due to declining COVID-19 activity but rising flu cases and persistent outbreaks of other infectious diseases like measles and avian flu.
October 8, 2025
Trend
Viewing the record for October 8, 2025 within the full trend.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
While COVID-19 activity is declining in the US, other infectious diseases are gaining ground, such as the flu, which has reached epidemic levels in Japan, and measles outbreaks in the US linked to low vaccination rates. Additionally, avian flu outbreaks in various regions and the ongoing risk of MERS in the Middle East highlight the continued global threat from infectious diseases. Vaccine hesitancy and misinformation, particularly regarding COVID-19 vaccines, continue to pose challenges to public health efforts. The combination of these factors suggests a moderate risk level, with potential for escalation if these outbreaks are not effectively managed.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Increase public awareness campaigns to combat vaccine misinformation and encourage vaccination, particularly in areas with low coverage.
Prepare for increased flu cases by ensuring adequate supply of antiviral medications and hospital resources.
Support international efforts to control avian flu and MERS through funding and resource allocation.
Continue to develop and test new vaccines and treatments for emerging infectious diseases to improve future pandemic preparedness.
Sources Monitored
Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.
Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- US COVID activity falling
- US COVID declining after reaching peak
- Japan reports spike in flu cases, surpassing 'epidemic' threshold, 135 schools shut Publisher: Gulf News
- Nationwide epidemic declared in Japan as flu season hits early Publisher: South China Morning Post
- Health officials confirm additional cases of measles in the Upstate Publisher: WYFF
- South Carolina measles outbreak grows as more cases are reported in Spartanburg County Publisher: Outbreak News Today
- Iran reports bird flu outbreak in poultry, WOAH says Publisher: Reuters
- Texas Health Officials Investigate Measles Outbreak Linked to Schools with Low Vaccination Rates Publisher: geneonline.com