Pandemics

Viewed record Moderate Risk
History 338 daily observations
Method Curated sources and AI scoring
Viewing July 14, 2025 Return to latest

Pandemics Risk

3.8 / 5
Moderate Risk +0.1 from previous reading

Assessment for this date

Today's pandemic risk is moderate due to ongoing outbreaks of COVID-19 variants, H5N1 avian flu, and measles, compounded by public mistrust in health agencies.

Record date

July 14, 2025

Trend

Viewing the record for July 14, 2025 within the full trend.

Risk Drivers

What is pushing the current reading.

The current global health landscape reveals a moderate risk of infectious disease outbreaks. COVID-19 variants continue to emerge, as indicated by the WHO's monitoring of new strains and the uptick in wastewater signals in the US. Concurrently, H5N1 avian flu cases are rising in multiple countries, including Cambodia and the US, posing a threat of zoonotic spillover. Measles outbreaks in the US highlight gaps in vaccination coverage and public health response, exacerbated by increasing vaccine hesitancy and mistrust in health agencies. These factors, coupled with the potential for misinformation to spread, underscore the need for vigilant surveillance and public health interventions to mitigate the risk of widespread outbreaks.

Risk Reduction Actions

Priority actions generated from the current analysis.

Government

Strengthen surveillance and reporting systems for emerging COVID-19 variants and H5N1 avian flu to enable rapid response.

Public Health Agencies

Increase public awareness campaigns to address vaccine hesitancy and rebuild trust in health institutions.

Healthcare Providers

Prioritize vaccination campaigns for measles and other preventable diseases to close immunization gaps.

NGOs

Collaborate with local communities to disseminate accurate information and counteract misinformation about vaccines.

Researchers

Accelerate the development and deployment of vaccines and therapeutics for emerging infectious diseases.

Sources Monitored

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Selected Articles

Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.