Strengthen surveillance and reporting systems for emerging COVID-19 variants and H5N1 avian flu to enable rapid response.
Pandemics
Pandemics Risk
Assessment for this date
Today's pandemic risk is moderate due to ongoing outbreaks of COVID-19 variants, H5N1 avian flu, and measles, compounded by public mistrust in health agencies.
July 14, 2025
Trend
Viewing the record for July 14, 2025 within the full trend.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
The current global health landscape reveals a moderate risk of infectious disease outbreaks. COVID-19 variants continue to emerge, as indicated by the WHO's monitoring of new strains and the uptick in wastewater signals in the US. Concurrently, H5N1 avian flu cases are rising in multiple countries, including Cambodia and the US, posing a threat of zoonotic spillover. Measles outbreaks in the US highlight gaps in vaccination coverage and public health response, exacerbated by increasing vaccine hesitancy and mistrust in health agencies. These factors, coupled with the potential for misinformation to spread, underscore the need for vigilant surveillance and public health interventions to mitigate the risk of widespread outbreaks.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Increase public awareness campaigns to address vaccine hesitancy and rebuild trust in health institutions.
Prioritize vaccination campaigns for measles and other preventable diseases to close immunization gaps.
Collaborate with local communities to disseminate accurate information and counteract misinformation about vaccines.
Accelerate the development and deployment of vaccines and therapeutics for emerging infectious diseases.
Sources Monitored
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Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- Quick takes: More H5N1 in dairy cattle, US COVID wastewater uptick, polio in Pakistan
- WHO adds XFG to SARS-CoV-2 variants under monitoring
- New data underscore rise in CDC mistrust during pandemic
- CDC estimates show jump in NB.1.8.1 COVID variant proportions
- CDC: 12 more children die of flu, reaching new season high for a nonpandemic year
- Cambodia logs fifth death from H5N1 avian flu as USDA weighs poultry vaccination
- Saudi Arabia confirms 9 MERS cases, including hospital cluster
- WHO director says public health-funding independence needed amid global cuts
- U.S. measles case count hits 33-year high — and Texas’ outbreak is to blame Publisher: Dallas News