Facilitate urgent diplomatic dialogues between Russia and NATO to de-escalate nuclear threats.
Nuclear War
Nuclear War Risk
Current assessment
The current nuclear threat level is elevated due to escalating rhetoric and threats from Russia, particularly towards Lithuania, and ongoing tensions involving Iran's nuclear ambitions.
September 13, 2026
Trend
Daily score history for Nuclear War.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
Recent developments indicate a significant increase in nuclear threats, particularly from Russia, which has issued multiple warnings regarding potential nuclear weapon use against Lithuania and NATO. This is compounded by heightened tensions in the Middle East over Iran's nuclear program, with both Israeli and US leaders making strong statements against Iran's nuclear capabilities. The breakdown of communication channels and the modernization of nuclear arsenals further exacerbate the risk, reflecting a broader trend of declining global nuclear stability and increasing geopolitical tensions.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Reinforce non-proliferation treaties and engage in renewed negotiations with Iran to address nuclear concerns.
Increase public awareness campaigns on the importance of nuclear disarmament and the risks of nuclear escalation.
Enhance crisis communication channels and establish clear protocols to prevent accidental nuclear engagements.
Advocate for nuclear disarmament policies and support political leaders who prioritize global nuclear stability.
Sources Monitored
Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.
Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- Iran says that the IAEA’s actions will push countries to withdraw from the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons Publisher: Українські Національні Новини (УНН) Published September 10, 2026
- Netanyahu: Iran is trying to rebuild its nuclear weapons capability Publisher: Ynetnews Published September 10, 2026
- Medvedev has once again threatened to launch nuclear strikes against Kyiv and NATO Publisher: UkrMedia News Published September 10, 2026
- Russia warns either the war ends ‘on our terms’ or nuclear weapons will be used Publisher: London Business News Published September 10, 2026
- Russia Issues Nuclear Warning to West; Moscow Threatens Use of Nuclear Weapons Publisher: خبرگزاری صدای افغان(آوا) Published September 10, 2026