Convene an emergency summit to address the surge in nuclear spending and reinforce arms control treaties.
Nuclear War
Nuclear War Risk
Assessment for this date
The global nuclear threat level is elevated due to record-high nuclear weapons spending, aggressive posturing by nuclear states, and weakened diplomatic channels.
June 12, 2026
Trend
Viewing the record for June 12, 2026 within the full trend.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
Recent reports indicate a significant increase in global nuclear weapons spending, reaching a record $119 billion in 2025, with major contributions from the US, Russia, and China. This surge in spending is accompanied by heightened rhetoric and strategic posturing, particularly from Russia, which has reiterated its willingness to use nuclear weapons defensively. The lack of progress in diplomatic engagements, such as Xi Jinping's reluctance to pressure North Korea, further exacerbates tensions. These developments occur in a context of deteriorating arms control agreements and modernization of nuclear arsenals, contributing to a precarious global security environment reminiscent of Cold War-era tensions.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Re-establish and prioritize diplomatic communication channels between nuclear-armed states to reduce the risk of miscalculation.
Increase advocacy for nuclear disarmament and non-proliferation initiatives to counteract rising military expenditures.
Enhance transparency and confidence-building measures to mitigate the risks associated with nuclear modernization programs.
Support and participate in public campaigns aimed at raising awareness about the dangers of nuclear escalation and the need for disarmament.
Sources Monitored
Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.
Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- A nuclear war between India and Pakistan could destroy the ozone layer Publisher: New Scientist
- Western Nuclear Powers Outspend Russia Nearly 10 to 1 as Moscow Keeps Threatening Europe Publisher: UNITED24 Media
- Report: US Leads Record Rise in Spending on Nuclear Arsenals in 2025 Publisher: Asharq Al-Awsat English
- Global nuclear weapons spending hit record high in 2025: Study Publisher: daily-sun.com
- Russia Again Says It Is Prepared to Use Nuclear Weapons to Defend the Union State Publisher: REFORM.news (ранее REFORM.by)