Convene an emergency summit to address the breakdown of nuclear arms control treaties and explore new frameworks for dialogue.
Nuclear War
Nuclear War Risk
Current assessment
The global nuclear threat level is heightened due to record nuclear weapons spending, aggressive posturing by nuclear states, and weakening international arms control frameworks.
June 11, 2026
Trend
Daily score history for Nuclear War.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
The current nuclear risk is elevated by the unprecedented increase in global nuclear weapons spending, which has reached a record high. This trend reflects a broader shift towards modernization and expansion of nuclear arsenals by key states, including the U.S., Russia, China, and regional powers like India and Pakistan. Additionally, the breakdown of key arms control treaties and the lack of effective diplomatic engagement exacerbate tensions, as seen in Russia's aggressive nuclear rhetoric and demands for U.S. nuclear withdrawal from Europe. The strategic environment is further destabilized by emerging technologies and reduced communication channels, increasing the risk of miscalculation or accidental escalation.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Increase funding for diplomatic initiatives aimed at reducing nuclear tensions and promoting disarmament.
Launch awareness campaigns to educate the public about the risks of nuclear proliferation and the importance of arms control.
Enhance crisis communication channels between nuclear-armed states to prevent accidental escalation.
Invest in technologies that improve nuclear detection and verification capabilities to support arms control efforts.
Sources Monitored
Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.
Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- Russia is demanding that the U.S. withdraw its nuclear weapons from Europe and dismantle its infrastructure Publisher: UA.NEWS Published June 9, 2026
- Nuclear weapons spending surges to record high of $119bn, report says Publisher: Al Jazeera Published June 9, 2026
- Russia Again Says It Is Prepared to Use Nuclear Weapons to Defend the Union State Publisher: REFORM.news (ранее REFORM.by) Published June 9, 2026
- Global nuclear weapons spending hit record high in 2025 Publisher: NST Online Published June 8, 2026
- Russia, Belarus ready to use all available means, including nuclear weapons, Russian official tells Izvestia Publisher: marketscreener.com Published June 8, 2026