Convene an emergency summit to address the implications of the New START treaty expiration and explore new arms control agreements.
Nuclear War
Viewed record
High Risk
History
339 daily observations
Method
Curated sources and AI scoring
Nuclear War Risk
4.5 / 5
High Risk
+0.0 from previous reading
Assessment for this date
The expiration of the New START treaty and increasing nuclear rhetoric from multiple countries have heightened global nuclear tensions.
Record date
February 11, 2026
Trend
Viewing the record for February 11, 2026 within the full trend.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
The expiration of the New START treaty marks a significant breakdown in arms control between the US and Russia, two of the world's largest nuclear powers, which could lead to an unchecked arms race. This development is compounded by rising nuclear ambitions and rhetoric in other regions, such as Turkey's potential entry into a nuclear arms race due to tensions with Iran, and discussions in Ukraine about middle powers needing nuclear weapons. These factors, combined with the modernization of nuclear arsenals and reduced diplomatic communication channels, significantly elevate the global nuclear threat level compared to previous years.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Increase diplomatic efforts to engage with countries expressing nuclear ambitions to prevent further proliferation.
Launch awareness campaigns highlighting the dangers of a renewed nuclear arms race and advocating for disarmament.
Enhance crisis communication channels with nuclear-armed states to prevent misunderstandings and accidental escalations.
Advocate for nuclear disarmament policies through petitions and public demonstrations to pressure governments into action.
Sources Monitored
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