Urgently convene a summit to discuss the renewal or replacement of expiring nuclear treaties.
Nuclear War
Nuclear War Risk
Assessment for this date
Recent developments, including potential resumption of US nuclear testing and the expiration of key treaties, have heightened global nuclear tensions.
February 2, 2026
Trend
Viewing the record for February 2, 2026 within the full trend.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
The current nuclear threat level is elevated due to several concerning developments: the potential resumption of US nuclear testing, which could trigger a new arms race; the looming expiration of the last major US-Russia nuclear arms control treaty without clear plans for renewal; and increased nuclear rhetoric and capabilities in regions like the Korean Peninsula and the Middle East. These factors, combined with modernization efforts and reduced diplomatic channels, contribute to a destabilized strategic environment reminiscent of Cold War tensions.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Reinstate and strengthen diplomatic communication channels between nuclear-armed states to prevent misunderstandings.
Increase public awareness campaigns on the risks of nuclear proliferation and the importance of arms control.
Enhance protocols for nuclear command and control to prevent accidental launches.
Advocate for policies that support nuclear disarmament and non-proliferation efforts.
Sources Monitored
Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.
Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- Last US-Russia nuclear weapons pact set to end, with Trump mum on extension Publisher: The Times of Israel
- Trump’s Nuclear Weapons Tests Threaten Breach with Europe Publisher: CounterPunch.org
- The US and Russia’s nuclear weapons treaty is set to expire. Here’s what’s at stake Publisher: Chatham House
- Could Iran buy nuclear weapons from North Korea? Publisher: The International Institute for Strategic Studies
- Trump appears to suggest the U.S. will resume testing nuclear weapons for first time in 30 years Publisher: PBS