Re-engage in diplomatic efforts to renew and expand nuclear arms control treaties.
Nuclear War
Nuclear War Risk
Assessment for this date
The nuclear threat level is elevated due to increased tensions with Iran, North Korea's nuclear ambitions, and potential resumption of U.S. nuclear testing.
January 29, 2026
Trend
Viewing the record for January 29, 2026 within the full trend.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
Recent developments indicate a significant increase in nuclear risk, with the U.S. considering resuming nuclear tests after decades, escalating tensions with Iran, and North Korea's plans to enhance its nuclear deterrent. These actions occur amidst a backdrop of deteriorating arms control agreements and modernization of nuclear arsenals globally, reducing the effectiveness of traditional deterrence and increasing the likelihood of miscalculation. The symbolic movement of the Doomsday Clock closer to midnight reflects these growing threats, compounded by geopolitical instability and the erosion of communication channels between nuclear powers.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Facilitate multilateral talks to address and de-escalate nuclear tensions in the Middle East and Korean Peninsula.
Enhance crisis communication protocols to prevent misunderstandings and accidental escalations.
Advocate for public awareness and education on the risks of nuclear proliferation and the importance of disarmament.
Support initiatives and policies that promote nuclear non-proliferation and disarmament.
Sources Monitored
Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.
Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- B61-13 first production unit completed ahead of schedule
- B61-12 system production ends, sustainment begins
- Trump Urges Iran to ‘Make a Deal’ On Nuclear Weapons, Warns ‘Massive Armada Heading Its Way’ Publisher: Forbes
- Trump Threatens Iran Invasion In Post, Says Armada Is On Its Way Publisher: meidasnews.com
- Members of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists moved the Doomsday Clock forward by four seconds, saying we are now 85 seconds to “midnight.” The assessment reflected the growing risks related to nuclear weapons, climate change, AI, autocracy and mor Publisher: facebook.com
- North Korea's Kim: party congress to unveil plans for nuclear-war deterrent, KCNA says Publisher: Reuters
- The US and Russia’s nuclear weapons treaty is set to expire. Here’s what’s at stake Publisher: Chatham House