Re-engage in diplomatic efforts to renew and expand arms control treaties, including the New START Treaty.
Nuclear War
Nuclear War Risk
Assessment for this date
The potential resumption of U.S. nuclear weapons testing, alongside the expiration of key arms control treaties, significantly elevates global nuclear tensions.
January 10, 2026
Trend
Viewing the record for January 10, 2026 within the full trend.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
Recent statements by former President Trump about resuming nuclear testing mark a significant shift away from decades of nuclear restraint and arms control efforts. This development, coupled with the impending expiration of the New START Treaty, undermines global nuclear stability and increases the risk of a renewed arms race. The modernization of nuclear arsenals and the erosion of communication channels between nuclear powers further exacerbate these risks, creating a precarious strategic environment reminiscent of Cold War tensions.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Facilitate dialogue between nuclear and non-nuclear states to address concerns about nuclear testing and proliferation.
Increase advocacy and public awareness campaigns to pressure governments to commit to nuclear disarmament and non-proliferation.
Enhance crisis communication protocols with other nuclear-armed states to prevent misunderstandings and accidental escalations.
Support organizations and initiatives that promote nuclear disarmament and advocate for peaceful conflict resolution.
Sources Monitored
Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.
Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- The New START Treaty is expiring. Where does that leave Europe's nuclear arsenal? Publisher: outrider.org
- Trump says nuclear weapons testing to resume in US after more than 30 years Publisher: BBC
- Trump orders Pentagon to start testing nuclear weapons 'on an equal basis' with other countries Publisher: NBC News
- Trump tells Pentagon to resume testing US nuclear weapons Publisher: Reuters
- Trump says he wants to resume nuclear testing. Here's what that would mean Publisher: NPR