Convene an emergency summit to address the potential resumption of nuclear testing and reinforce existing arms control frameworks.
Nuclear War
Nuclear War Risk
Assessment for this date
The nuclear threat level is heightened due to renewed discussions on nuclear testing, modernization of arsenals, and geopolitical tensions involving nuclear-armed states.
December 12, 2025
Trend
Viewing the record for December 12, 2025 within the full trend.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
Recent developments indicate a significant increase in nuclear risk, driven by the potential resumption of nuclear testing by the U.S. and Russia, which threatens to dismantle decades of arms control efforts. The modernization of nuclear arsenals by major powers, including the U.S. and China, alongside shifting doctrines and the introduction of AI into nuclear command and control systems, further destabilize the strategic environment. Additionally, geopolitical tensions, particularly involving Russia, NATO, and the U.S., exacerbate the risk of miscalculation or accidental escalation. The breakdown of traditional communication channels and treaties, such as the INF Treaty, compounds these risks, creating a precarious global security situation reminiscent of Cold War-era tensions.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Re-establish and strengthen crisis communication channels between nuclear-armed states to prevent accidental escalation.
Advocate for public awareness campaigns on the dangers of nuclear testing and the importance of arms control treaties.
Enhance protocols for the secure management of nuclear arsenals, incorporating safeguards against cyber threats and AI miscalculations.
Engage in advocacy for nuclear disarmament and support political candidates committed to reducing nuclear risks.
Sources Monitored
Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.
Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- Russia’s Nuclear Weapons – Analysis Publisher: Eurasia Review
- U.S Moves Away From NATO, Russia Arms Belarus With Nuclear Weapons Publisher: WION
- INTERVIEW - Risk of nuclear conflict ‘highest since depths of Cold War’: UN disarmament chief Publisher: Anadolu Ajansı
- Trump Orders Resumption of Nuclear Weapons Tests: Is China Conducting Secret Ones? Publisher: موقع مسبار
- Russia and the US threatened to resume nuclear testing after several decades. Here is why it matters Publisher: outrider.org