Convene an emergency session to address the potential resumption of nuclear testing and reinforce the importance of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty.
Nuclear War
Nuclear War Risk
Assessment for this date
The nuclear threat level is elevated due to potential resumption of nuclear testing by the U.S., ongoing modernization of nuclear arsenals, and increased geopolitical tensions.
December 11, 2025
Trend
Viewing the record for December 11, 2025 within the full trend.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
Recent developments indicate a significant increase in nuclear risk, with the U.S. considering resuming nuclear testing after decades, which could trigger a new arms race and undermine global non-proliferation efforts. Additionally, modernization of nuclear arsenals, as seen with the B61-13 production, and geopolitical tensions involving Russia, North Korea, and other nuclear states, contribute to a destabilized strategic environment. The breakdown of traditional arms control treaties and the introduction of emerging technologies like AI further complicate crisis management and increase the risk of miscalculation.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Engage in diplomatic efforts to renew arms control agreements and establish new frameworks for nuclear risk reduction.
Increase advocacy and public awareness campaigns on the dangers of nuclear testing and modernization to build public pressure against these actions.
Enhance communication channels and confidence-building measures with other nuclear-armed states to prevent accidental escalation.
Support initiatives and organizations that work towards nuclear disarmament and non-proliferation.
Sources Monitored
Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.
Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- B61-13 first production unit completed ahead of schedule
- Trump Orders Resumption of Nuclear Weapons Tests: Is China Conducting Secret Ones? Publisher: موقع مسبار
- Russia and the US threatened to resume nuclear testing after several decades. Here is why it matters Publisher: outrider.org
- Trump appears to suggest the U.S. will resume testing nuclear weapons for first time in 30 years Publisher: PBS
- Trump directs Pentagon to match Russia and China in nuclear weapons testing Publisher: The Guardian