Convene an emergency session to address the potential resumption of nuclear testing and reinforce commitments to existing treaties.
Nuclear War
Nuclear War Risk
Assessment for this date
Recent rhetoric about resuming nuclear weapons testing and ongoing modernization efforts raise the nuclear threat level significantly.
December 9, 2025
Trend
Viewing the record for December 9, 2025 within the full trend.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
The current nuclear threat level is elevated due to a combination of factors including the potential resumption of nuclear weapons testing by the U.S., as indicated by recent statements, and the ongoing modernization of nuclear arsenals by major powers. These developments occur in a context where traditional arms control treaties have weakened or collapsed, such as the INF Treaty and the Open Skies Treaty, leading to a more unstable strategic environment. Additionally, emerging technologies like AI and hypersonic weapons further complicate deterrence dynamics, while reduced communication channels between nuclear states increase the risk of miscalculation.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Increase diplomatic efforts to engage in dialogue with nuclear-armed states to prevent escalation and promote arms control agreements.
Launch awareness campaigns highlighting the risks of nuclear testing and modernization to galvanize public opinion against these actions.
Enhance crisis communication protocols to ensure rapid and clear communication in the event of a nuclear incident.
Advocate for nuclear disarmament and support organizations working towards reducing nuclear risks.
Sources Monitored
Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.
Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- B61-13 first production unit completed ahead of schedule
- B61-12 system production ends, sustainment begins
- North Korea's Kim stresses Air Force's nuclear war deterrence on its 80th anniversary Publisher: Reuters
- Trump says nuclear weapons testing to resume in US after more than 30 years Publisher: BBC
- Trump orders Pentagon to start testing nuclear weapons 'on an equal basis' with other countries Publisher: NBC News