Re-engage in diplomatic efforts to restore and strengthen international arms control agreements.
Nuclear War
Nuclear War Risk
Assessment for this date
Recent developments, including potential resumption of nuclear testing by the US and China's warnings of nuclear conflict, indicate a heightened nuclear threat environment.
November 28, 2025
Trend
Viewing the record for November 28, 2025 within the full trend.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
The current nuclear threat level is elevated due to several concerning factors: the potential resumption of US nuclear weapons testing, which could undermine global non-proliferation norms; China's warnings of nuclear conflict risks, reflecting heightened geopolitical tensions; and public perception of an increased likelihood of nuclear war, as indicated by recent polls. These developments occur in a context of deteriorating arms control agreements and modernization of nuclear arsenals by major powers, contributing to a more unstable global strategic environment. The lack of effective communication channels and trust between nuclear-armed states further exacerbates the risk of miscalculation or accidental escalation.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Facilitate dialogue between nuclear-armed states to reduce tensions and enhance communication channels.
Advocate for increased public awareness and education on nuclear risks and the importance of non-proliferation.
Enhance crisis management protocols and communication systems to prevent accidental escalation.
Support initiatives and policies that promote nuclear disarmament and non-proliferation.
Sources Monitored
Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.
Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- China warns of nuclear conflict risks after Trump's order to conduct tests - Media Publisher: Українські Національні Новини
- China is scaring the world with a global nuclear conflict amid Trump's statements Publisher: Online.UA
- Hecker Warns U.S. Against Restarting Nuclear Weapons Tests Publisher: Военное дело
- China warns of global nuclear conflict after US signals return to weapons testing Publisher: Latest news from Azerbaijan
- Most Democrats and one-third of Republicans think it’s likely the U.S. will get into a nuclear war in the next decade Publisher: YouGov