Convene emergency sessions to address the expiration of nuclear treaties and encourage dialogue between nuclear powers.
Nuclear War
Nuclear War Risk
Assessment for this date
Current nuclear risk is elevated due to increased rhetoric and potential policy shifts towards nuclear armament in Europe and Asia, alongside the expiration of key US-Russia treaties.
November 23, 2025
Trend
Viewing the record for November 23, 2025 within the full trend.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
The global nuclear threat level is heightened by several factors: the potential breakdown of the last nuclear arms control treaty between the US and Russia, discussions in Europe and Japan about hosting or developing nuclear weapons, and advancements in nuclear weapons technology and deployment strategies. These developments occur in a context where traditional arms control frameworks are eroding, and communication channels between nuclear powers are less robust than in previous decades, increasing the risk of miscalculation or escalation.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Reinforce diplomatic efforts to prevent the proliferation of nuclear weapons in Europe and Asia.
Increase public awareness campaigns on the dangers of nuclear proliferation and the importance of arms control agreements.
Enhance crisis communication protocols to prevent accidental escalation between nuclear-armed states.
Advocate for nuclear disarmament and support political candidates who prioritize arms control and non-proliferation.
Sources Monitored
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Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- B61-13 first production unit completed ahead of schedule
- Nuclear subs provide South Korea a security hedge, potential for nuclear weapons Publisher: Washington Times
- Miniaturization and Modernization: The Untold Story of China’s Nuclear Weapons Publisher: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
- America’s Allies Should Go Nuclear: Selective Proliferation Will Strengthen the Global Order, Not End It Publisher: Foreign Affairs
- Last nuclear treaty between US and Russia nears expiration as Trump and Putin trade testing threats Publisher: CNN