Convene an emergency session to address the potential resumption of nuclear testing and reinforce existing treaties.
Nuclear War
Nuclear War Risk
Assessment for this date
Recent developments indicate an elevated nuclear threat level due to potential nuclear tests by major powers and deteriorating arms control agreements.
November 14, 2025
Trend
Viewing the record for November 14, 2025 within the full trend.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
The current global nuclear threat level is heightened by several factors: the potential for renewed nuclear testing by the US and Russia, as indicated by recent statements and proposals, undermines decades of arms control efforts and could trigger a new arms race. Additionally, the modernization of nuclear arsenals and the integration of emerging technologies like AI into military strategies increase the risk of miscalculation or accidental escalation. The breakdown of communication channels and the erosion of trust between nuclear-armed states further exacerbate these risks, making the strategic environment more volatile than in recent years.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Engage in diplomatic efforts to restore and strengthen arms control agreements, focusing on transparency and verification mechanisms.
Enhance crisis communication protocols with other nuclear-armed states to prevent misunderstandings and accidental escalations.
Raise public awareness about the dangers of nuclear testing and advocate for non-proliferation and disarmament initiatives.
Develop and promote technologies that enhance verification and monitoring of nuclear activities to support arms control efforts.
Sources Monitored
Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.
Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- State Department Deletes Records About Risk of Accidental Nuclear War Publisher: The Daily Beast
- If Trump resumes testing of nuclear weapons, Russia says it's going to do it too Publisher: USA Today
- Trump and Putin bring nuclear threat back into spotlight Publisher: EL PAÍS English
- Russia working on proposals for nuclear weapons testing, Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov says Publisher: New York Post
- How AI might actually start a nuclear war Publisher: vox.com