Facilitate renewed diplomatic efforts to re-establish nuclear arms control agreements, particularly with Iran.
Nuclear War
Nuclear War Risk
Assessment for this date
Recent military actions and nuclear-capable armament acquisitions have escalated tensions, increasing the risk of nuclear conflict.
June 27, 2025
Trend
Viewing the record for June 27, 2025 within the full trend.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
The current global nuclear threat level is elevated due to several factors: the acquisition of nuclear-capable fighter jets by the UK indicates a modernization of arsenals, while US military strikes on Iran have increased regional tensions and potentially incentivized nuclear proliferation. Additionally, the breakdown of diplomatic channels and treaties, such as the Iran nuclear deal, has reduced crisis communication and increased the likelihood of miscalculation. These developments, combined with ongoing geopolitical rivalries and the absence of robust arms control agreements, contribute to a heightened risk of nuclear conflict.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Increase transparency and communication channels among nuclear-armed states to prevent miscalculations.
Advocate for public awareness and education on nuclear risks and the importance of disarmament.
Enhance protocols for nuclear command and control to ensure robust safeguards against accidental launches.
Invest in technologies that improve verification and monitoring of nuclear arsenals to support arms control efforts.
Sources Monitored
Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.
Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- Iran’s desire for nuclear weapons has only been spurred on by US strikes – no matter what Trump says Publisher: The Independent
- UK to buy fighter jets capable of carrying tactical nuclear weapons Publisher: Reuters
- The Bombing of Iran May Teach an Unwelcome Lesson on Nuclear Weapons Publisher: The New York Times
- UK to purchase US jets capable of carrying nuclear weapons Publisher: Financial Times
- UK to purchase fighter jets capable of carrying tactical nuclear weapons Publisher: Reuters