Convene an emergency session of the UN Security Council to address the escalating situation and seek diplomatic solutions.
Nuclear War
Nuclear War Risk
Assessment for this date
Recent US military strikes on Iranian nuclear sites have escalated tensions, increasing the risk of nuclear proliferation and potential retaliation.
June 24, 2025
Trend
Viewing the record for June 24, 2025 within the full trend.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
The US strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities mark a significant escalation in regional tensions, potentially prompting Iran to accelerate its nuclear weapons program as a deterrent. This development occurs amidst a backdrop of eroding arms control agreements and modernization of nuclear arsenals by major powers, contributing to a destabilized global nuclear order. Additionally, reports of potential nuclear assistance to Iran from other countries further exacerbate proliferation risks. The lack of effective crisis communication channels and diplomatic engagement heightens the potential for miscalculation and conflict escalation.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Re-engage in diplomatic talks with Iran to de-escalate tensions and explore pathways to revive the nuclear agreement.
Increase advocacy for nuclear non-proliferation and disarmament initiatives to raise public awareness and pressure governments.
Enhance readiness and communication protocols to prevent accidental escalation and ensure clear lines of communication.
Advocate for elected officials to prioritize diplomatic solutions over military actions in international conflicts.
Sources Monitored
Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.
Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- Russian leader claims multiple countries prepped to provide Iran nuclear weapons following US strikes Publisher: Fox News
- The US strikes on Iran will increase nuclear weapons proliferation Publisher: Peoples Dispatch
- Putin Ally Says Countries Now Ready to Supply Iran With Nuclear Weapons Publisher: Newsweek
- United States attacks Iranian nuclear facilities, raising the possibility of Iranian retaliation, sprint for nuclear weapons Publisher: Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
- Trump Goes There, Striking Iran’s Nuclear Weapons Sites Publisher: National Review