Convene an emergency session to address the Israel-Iran conflict and reinforce the importance of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.
Nuclear War
Nuclear War Risk
Assessment for this date
The nuclear threat level is elevated due to escalating tensions between Israel and Iran, potential breakdowns in nuclear treaties, and heightened rhetoric involving nuclear weapons use.
June 22, 2025
Trend
Viewing the record for June 22, 2025 within the full trend.
Risk Drivers
What is pushing the current reading.
Recent developments show a concerning escalation in the Middle East, particularly with Israel's strikes on Iranian facilities and the potential for Iran to leave the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. This is compounded by the lack of evidence supporting Iran's active pursuit of nuclear weapons, yet persistent claims and military actions suggest otherwise. Additionally, the rhetoric from major powers like the US and Russia regarding the use of tactical nuclear weapons further destabilizes the global nuclear environment. Historical trends show a gradual erosion of arms control agreements and modernization of nuclear arsenals, which, combined with reduced diplomatic communication channels, heightens the risk of miscalculation and conflict.
Risk Reduction Actions
Priority actions generated from the current analysis.
Engage in diplomatic efforts to de-escalate tensions in the Middle East and reaffirm commitments to existing nuclear treaties.
Increase advocacy for nuclear disarmament and transparency in nuclear capabilities to reduce misinformation and fear.
Enhance crisis communication protocols to prevent accidental or unauthorized use of nuclear weapons.
Support and participate in public awareness campaigns about the risks of nuclear proliferation and the importance of arms control agreements.
Sources Monitored
Visible feeds used in this category's nightly run.
Selected Articles
Supporting articles referenced in the latest score.
- Is Iran set to leave the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty? Publisher: Australian Broadcasting Corporation
- The US Cannot Allow Iran to Obtain Nuclear Weapons Publisher: Hudson Institute
- Fox News: The US does not rule out using nuclear weapons to attack Iran Publisher: babel.ua
- The Israel-Iran conflict may be about to reach a dangerous new level Publisher: openDemocracy
- Israel strikes unfinished Arak heavy water reactor in Iran Publisher: BBC