Nuclear War

Recent developments indicate a moderate risk level in the global nuclear landscape. The introduction of advanced technologies such as small modular reactors and the increasing interest in nuclear power across new regions, including the Middle East and Latin America, contribute to this assessment. While these technologies promise enhanced safety features and smaller environmental footprints, they also present proliferation risks and challenges in nuclear governance. Additionally, the breakdown of key nuclear treaties and the lack of robust international standards for nuclear security further exacerbate the threat. The ongoing geopolitical tensions in regions like South Asia, where nuclear-armed states have historical conflicts, also heighten the risk. However, the absence of immediate hostile nuclear exchanges or escalations keeps the risk from reaching a high level.