Nuclear War

The current global nuclear threat landscape is marked by several concerning trends that elevate the risk level to moderate. Recent military actions near nuclear power plants, such as those at Zaporizhzhia in Ukraine, introduce a direct threat to nuclear safety and highlight the potential for catastrophic accidents in conflict zones. Additionally, the rise in domestic extremism, particularly in politically polarized environments, increases the risk of nuclear or radiological incidents perpetrated by insiders or non-state actors. Geopolitical tensions and modernization of nuclear arsenals by major powers, coupled with a breakdown in some international nuclear treaties, further complicate the global security environment. These factors, combined with emerging technologies that could affect nuclear command and control systems, contribute to a complex and precarious nuclear threat scenario.